Ülo Ennuste Economics

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Sketch 24. IV 17 (automatic translation of the previous Estonian paper for idependent international references)

Ülo Ennuste (24. IV  17) Socio-cybernetic small Note national  of the approximate financial resources assessment methods in hybrid-warfare  conditions, from the prospect of the probability  of the of the national sustainability stabilty criteria: case study of the experimental calculations illustrating Estonian present conditions with the previous century of occupation fallouts, as well as the negative effects of long-term damage to the accounting of the ruins of the occupation

Abstact

The 21st century academic socio-Cybernetics primary power shall evaluate the hybrid war solidaarsestesse kooperatiivsesse/suurliitudesse of the UNHCR on the national economic, social-and in particular the success of the cybernetic-Meta-Post based GDP: in particular, the sustainability of the sustainability of the national proxy-convergence of the sustainability of the conditional probability, Bayes ‘ on the basis of national macro increments –-in models of national institutions (Hodgson (2007; 1998) and the resources and risks in the form of a quantification financially developed so positively than negatively – and particularly in the human capital and social capital measurement of the financial volumes also both direct and indirect – and financially by measuring the long-term occupation of the most recent, also caused by the terrorist national casualties in particular, the human-, social-and cultural-property, etc-because in the current hübriidsõjas is the aim of the agressori once again, the likelihood of sustainability sustainability loits erodeerimine trying to rely on the previous occupation by the komplikatsioonidele – for optimal deterrence strategies and policies of the respective national resources planning requires a quantitative assessment of the comparable volumes, and to cooperate with the scientific cooperation of the allies of the independent oivakskustega.

  • Stiglitz et al. (2010) put the strictly teadusloogiliselt firmly into place so that the standard/formal GDP indicators are mainly based on the flows highlighted in market economy and thus to strictly invalid both the sustainability of the national evaluation of welfare as well – particularly in the conditions of uncertainty and risks of high hübriidsõja – and also in the teaduslagedate of national revenue redistribution of disfunktsionaalsete under the conditions of the institutions (e.g. 0-profit tax which is detrimental to the partner and hübriidsõjas sub-aggressor subsideerib, etc.); next to remain largely out of both national socio- , the human-, culture-, etc, the creation of reserves assets/current volumes of the estimates, and the stock of resources if the faktotite calculations: what’s more important that the standard GDP accounting check will go to the currently positive, such as several of the hübriidsõja caused by crimes – for example, as a result of the 2007 pronksmäsu rebuilding, etc (the credibility of the report confirms the scientific composition of the authors tippkompetentsus-added – for this is missing both the politikaanid and the bankers, and the plutokraadid and other magnaadid like we practice, etc.)

NB: the real (G) the validation of non-formal/research-based GGDP some of the volumes are abbreviated preliminary quantitative operational and their preliminary results given the informal, so-called sateliitkontosid is described summarily in the following studies

  http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/gdp-and-beyond/publications

http://ec.europa.eu/environment/beyond_gdp/index_en.html

refer to the academic/informal, the volumes of the GGDP duaalhindades (or varihindades), which is possible in the absence of market prices, the optimiseerimisteooriate võimekustega are submitted by financially rough-in excess of the standard in terms of human resources (in a wide sense of regulations, together with the reproduction of the capital), the financial value exceeds substantially the size of the physical capital in this context (see, for example, the OECD (2011) which, unfortunately, on the basis of statistics and economy narrowly where the calculations of the Estonian are missing – and the OECD (2016), where there are also some indirect social capital of the Estonian kvantifikatsioone).

  • Stiglitz et al . according to the national population should be taken into account adequately the activities of both revenue-market sourcing and acquisition of national investment and the creation of national resources – in particular, both the national human-and social-and physical-and institutsionaal-the acquisition of the capital by the non-market institutions and households – and their assessment of the financial resources of the volumes – and a largely informal basis duaalhindade. On OECD (2011) for the evaluation of a complex formula of the volume of the human capital is a complex approach to the market economy, even in the case of narrow, where indigenous communities such as the reproduktiivsusega related to the human resources of households – the same as allude to the Diamond & Saez , etc., as well as the sotsiaalkapitaliga stories in particular, given the conditions of the hübriidsõja risks, related national änge (see, for example, Ott & Ennuste (1996) ethnic groups, such as that in paragraph unless asymmetric side structures: in English and Russian). And see also the Chou (2006) abstract which added; not to mention the national küberneetiliste institutsionaalkapitalide financial hinnanguest – KUNČIČ (in 2014).
  • It is unfortunate that a large part of our national economic and Monetary Affairs-politicians is politically motivated, narrowly remained the nationalist ebaadekvaatsete deterministlike kummardajateks GDP indicators so far (see annex) – which distort their perceptions of the actual situation and the size of the risks, and to lead them to a nationalist ränkadele väärotsustustele, such as putinoid the troll tekitatavatele by the national social capital in the EU and NATO, in particular in the kiilulõõmisega strain on the system. Especially in the hübriidsõja under the conditions of risk (see Kissinger (2014), Lucas (2014), Toomse (2015), Kaljulaid (2017), etc.), and even more are the mechanisms of majandusküberneetiliste- Diamond & Saez (2011) and Best et al. (2017), such as the current of our 0-profit tax is a teaduslage mechanism and, at the same time, the negative of the institution – particularly when taking into account the risks and the respective claims.
  • Examples of problems in hübriidsõja: strategic communications war 1) see, for example, war, sanctions, Ennuste (2014) given in the literature references that need a hierarchical coordination service kooperatiivses in the Union 2) strategic communications about the war, see the references to the Ennuste (2008) that it is necessary to “freedom of expression” kremlimeelsete restrictions in respect of the trolls, etc. 3) is worth tähelpanu also called ifolõhe between the camps of academic and poliitkorporatiivse (Januskaite, & Uziene (2015), and Kahan et al. (2017) recognize that this gap may be somewhat relieved by the curiosity of some võimurite) the worsening strategic kommunikatsioonisõjas between the academic and political institutions (see also StratCom COE (2015)) – particularly in the understanding of the risks to the sustainability of the sustainability väikerahvuslike tõenäosuslikkuse part 4), especially in the deep gap is, on the one hand, a probabilistic approach to the treatment of teadusloogilises (truth is the probability and false, and faktoidid may come from not only the pudrupäisusest but probably also the sulilikust salakavalsusest (Wiener (1948)) – in particular in the strategic communication) – and, on the other hand, subjective support political-between the determinismi (where the hägusloogika in use).

Example: The long-term occupation by the NLi and the waste from the financial losses suffered by the national täilike the real assessment which takes into account in particular the inimvaradega, such as

 https://uloennuste.wordpress.com/2016/11/18/do-not-quote-18-xi-16/

NB: the long-term occupation of Estonia by the NLi, such as the damage caused by a completely formal (on the basis of the national statistics of the national resources in standardese, thus excluding entities) to the correct rating (the cock (2005) it’s probably within the limits (0, 1, 0, 2) tn (tn is a 10 step 12) – that’s right, 2004. (a) the data and macro-economic theories into the mainstream … and on the basis of methodologies), and within the framework of the National Commission on Outokumpu in that – as diplomatically ethically correct manner (e.g., Kirch et al. (2009)), it was possible (including is Cock responsibly stated that the NLi occupation was the essence of colonization which Fukuyama (2014 lk391) sets a primary põlisrahvuse the destruction of the light) – for example, that in our war of independence II (Lindmäe (1999-2015) Volume IX, lk542)) in losses came from completely off to remain silent – turns out to be the now currently hübriidsõja under conditions of risk and the informaalsetes teaduspõhistes costumes, the completely null and void – especially our national inimvarade the massive amounts of losses due to the barbaarses okupatsioonis, and pikaajaluste terms of the lesions that are continuing so far (Raukas (2005), such as radioactive waste-see also ANNEX ).

P.S.: It is clear that the informal financial described above, the kompleksete national academic tõenäosuslike (largely on the basis of subjective assessments like the Bayes ‘: Tongeren et al. (2016), and indirect macroeconomic results of the measurements, such as, for example, Rajasalu (2003) the reliability of the estimates) and the strategic consideration of hübriidsõja antagonistliku in the conditions of communication can be secure – the only and only – a broad well coordinated within the framework of international cooperation — the synergies of national teadmusstruktuuride metasünteesis. The remains of perhaps but still add these to the national structures of the energy contained in huge scholarly assets – in particular, the relevant tippteaduslike of the hundreds of magazines, and studies of hundreds of thousands of tippteoreetiliste inside the hiding-although many of these studies can be found in/buy a few clicks below, such as osunduste, also kirjandusviidetest – but none of the top scientists have not let this pink long enough so that the whole of this large multi-dimensionaalsuses, and määramatuses, and the dynamics of, and complementary methods to operate alone in the field and try to poliitpõhiseid the numerous corporate sustainability sustainability of national õõnestavaid the likelihood of populist väärotsuseid don’t hcertainly hold – although at times, it would be possible to quickly and easily make, such as: (a) is also scientifically, such as strategic communications in war, a certain degree of limitation of the “freedom of expression” absolutely oblikatoorne (see, for example, Ennuste (2008). Such as even the President Kaljulaid’s WaPo article – https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/russia-is-a-threat-estonia-frets-about-its-neighbor/2017/03/24/011ad320-0f2b-11e7-9b0d-d27c98455440_story.html?utm_term=.ab0febde5386 – is probably the dozens in the Kremlin, the trolls have added comments to diversioonilisi (and it funnier is that the same article is probably to support political-accuracy credible probably kremlimeelse Y faktoidi ‘ Toom. as to the Russian spoke in Narva is currently not any putinoidi the way kiskjaliku was changed to Narva – the NLi venekeelseks by the sõjakuritegelikult ethnic in the course of the cleansing, and thus a potential dangerous situation especially in the currently sütikuna during the civil war with Russia – see, for example, Thorsten & Riera-Crichton (2015)) ((b)) very, very easy to be approaching the Estonian Presidency during the EU/27-s to enforce the tax laws take into account the whole science-based risks and that the Member States, the institutions of multinational or deceptive tax havens takes (see EU Commission, preparatory Reports corresponding to the recent years) – and – with the EU as a whole, the 27/both social capital and defence capabilities would increase (while we teadustühiselt asendusteemasid kilplaslikult seltskonnameedias up in the heat, and the rahvuslikku teadmusruumi hägustatakse dispuutidega sotsiaalmaksustamise, such as robots, etc: = =) (c), which is particularly important for us in this hübriidsõjas that kiskjalik inimsusevastaselt okupatsioonis prior to the aggressor, significantly undermined our both ethnic and national structure of the spiritual (see, e.g., Hill et al. (2016) and Young (2005)), and the Russian-speaking population here now trying to falsely on behalf of human rights once again into the rescue of the occupation to restore social capital as the national nationalist loits and ideologically lõhestades: in doing so as one of the main weapon of the wrong the wrong end – as if the occupation existed and that the deportations were to rescue the people of Estonian and Russian language should be restored as a national language, etc. Absolutely definitely were the okupatsioonis of our põhirahvuse of the national teadmusruumi and the quality of the human asset losses will be enormous and long-term meaning of the 21st century – in the larger senihinnatutest and so far significantly reduce the likelihood of sustainability sustainability loits – up to the historic truth truly is also scientifically in the face/view: for example, that in all probability already tunamullu in Tallinn, Estonia v (k) was dominated by (the study of Mägi et al. (2016)).

P.S.P.S.: (a) the text is designed for the professional, to facilitate international cooperation, and in this sense, in particular in terms of “a machine translation for the appropriate decimal point instead of using dashes and such as GDP (production of homegrown and not GDP/GDP, etc.), (b) UR30.III, Eurostat published a fresh overview of the 2017 in EU GDP in the region 28/276 p. (c) imbalances on: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/news/news-releases. Although this review is of the 21st century in terms of macroeconomics vaegteaduslik (see, e.g., Atkinson (2017) – for example, reflects only a narrowly turumajanduslikke indices) — this overview may, however, also, such as the OECD, with reports that concluded on the basis of the EU as a whole, the level of social capital is probably lousy because the variance of economic levels in these regions are very large (free, however, to the Baltic States is the regionalization of non-differentiated. (c) at least at the Estonian Presidency should be EL/27-s this problem also scientifically Agendasse to push it, especially considering that such as Econ.com 1. (IV) on the basis of the forecast of GDP by 2017 2018 on the fresh, it seems likely that the Member States are able to argue that the sigma divergence seems to continue deepening and, thus, mitmegi perifeeriariigi (especially in the adjacent kiskjaliku (Tirole (1992) the term oligopolide in theory) for the Empire) the likelihood of the sustainability of the national sustainability seems to eksistentsiaalselt decreasing – if still in võimurid especially in the Member States (in particular the high levels of concentration, where Russian-speaking) of the true socio-küberneetilistest (Inc. EL/27 the promotion of social capital as a whole) to the problems of the bankers/kröösuste management populistlikult/teaduslagedalt along to look at (by the way, the newspaper The Economist has the skilled workforce, teadusosakonda).

Understandably, it must also include the Agendasse issue:

http://www.europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?type=TA&reference=P8-TA-2016-0440&language=ET&ring=A8-2016-0317

Acknowledgements: Thank YOU for the financial contribution to the WHITE PAPER on the Board which allowed me to get close to half the paid fresh scientific publications, including the latest Amazon Kindle very quickly the monographs suhtkalleid; deep, thanks to the Tallinn University Academic Library in order to allow me to free access to thousands of articles and advice on proper sciensdirect.com; for the hundreds of comments, thanks to his long-time academic colleagues in this area: Geoffrey Hodgson, Attiat f. Ott, Ilari Tyrni, Teet Rajasalu, Peep the Shade , Jaak Uibu, Aigi Rahi-Oak, Alari Drunk, Aksel Kirch, Anton Laur, …

In particular it would be grateful to the expected charitable kaasautoritele – I’m totally aware of that, so far, for the pursuit of the complicated area of prognostilisel alone, in principle, does not create sufficient to virtually tõeväärtusega the results.

 

ADD (the retsenseerimata and the unedited draft 23. (IV) 17 – not to refer to the)

“The better the approximately right than exactly wrong”

J.M. Keynes

The visible and invisible of national macro-evaluation of the approximate financial resources, examples and the corresponding financial assessment of the effects of long-term okupatsioonikahjude – Estonian national sustainability the sustainability aspect, the likelihood of both international alliances if hübriidsõja conditions

  1. Standard/formal market economy of human capital (SMHC) per capita (p. c) on average in the OECD (2011) on the basis of the results of the generalized transfer (see the Abstract claim that the whole of the SMHC is 8 to 10 times higher than the volume of the GDP (SGDP) – with the likelihood of the accuracy of the results of such studies are assessed at least 0.9 the level. This OECD study is done in a dozen relatively rich and ethnically homogeneous major national and the transfer of the results of the Bayes ‘ by being ethnically rich and majandusliidus perifeersele of the results of the confidence of the corresponding threats requires the reduction of the likelihood of also-if the extension of the usalduspiiride (see, for example, the Tongeren & Picavet(2016)), and the official statistics (GDP and population, etc.) for the data, we can get a big ligikaudsusega and, at the same time, probably a sufficient likelihood of subjective/Bayesliku (0.8) were initially assessed at current market prices in 2016 to the Estonian market and expected by the method of income-the average SMHC p. subparagraph (c) is placed in the : € (0, 1, 0, 2) 0.1 and 0.2 M – which is the paragraph in the lower and the upper confidence limit and M stands for million.

NB to: (a) the average of the whole population, it is the usalduslõik with the OECD (2011), such as some of the elite-cohort score may be close to twice that of the average overcome perhaps be, for example, € (0, 1, 0, 2) M, and contrary to what-is probably the hübriidsõja conditions appropriate to define it as a negative average kohorte (b) in determining the entity of the national whole SMHC 2016. (a) the number of the population to be used as a net at this point must be taken into account only domestic residents, such as the occupation of the population due to irreversible losses in economic terms also include the occupation of the Polish emigrants during the occupation, the politically discriminated against persons, the occupation of the educational opportunities lost due to injuries, and (c) and which are also important: the entire population of a distortion in the structure (in particular venestamisega) caused the damage (as Eurostat (2016) by those born in third countries (in particular, therefore, the Russian-speaking) positive economic activity is lower than our põhirahvuse – however, these statistical data is currently in need of refinement (because of the conditions of the hübriidsõja in recent years, the ethnic polarity probably growing).

  1. the Informal/non-market kodumajanduslik (sic! puhtmajanduslik but the rated current in the standard market prices) of the IMHC p. (c) perhaps also the so-called satellite GDP (a housewife raising children, a home for elderly care, home chores, etc.) to volumes of statisticians will be assessed (e.g., on the basis of the official statistics of active tegevustundide) by an average of 2 to 3 times larger than the IMHC p. c – thus € (0, 2, 0, 6), M.
  2. the National informal social capital (an amorphous = visible/invisible, and formal statistics largely incomplete – the acronym NISC): Estonian, as of 2013, for there is some quantitative measurements made on the level of social capital index to the OECD (in 2016), the study-which is, unfortunately, been limited only to the extent of the national evaluation of the General level of 10 points in the system and the structure of the film, in the form of the indicator is presented – which seems to be more or less at the level of the average of the EU-28-5.8 points. In doing so, such factors as the undifferentiated/separeerimata: reproduktiivsus of the population and the related family biological reserves, social/social capital of communities, economic inequality, ethnic heterogeneity, the aggressor Empire, strategic communications diversioonoperatsioonide hübriidsõja ängide, the negative impact of destructive ethnic asümmeetrilisus (e.g., Ott & Ennuste (1996)), etc. The national informal (formal/official statistics greatly lacking in particular as regards prices), social capital (NISC) to assess the financial volume of p c (including, for example, especially in the assessment of the volume of the capital-reproduktiivsus) there are no market prices, and the standard must be high in reliability, the trials, the first to migrate to the informal use of duaalhindade (varihindade). It ideally for large dynamic stohhastiliste optimeerimismudelite dekomponeeritud duaalhinnad endogeenselt lead into the settlement where the (unfortunately, the Estonian on such numerical models are currently missing), then the remains over to the larger ligikaudsusega and the lower level of confidence to fall back on international panels to the use of faktoranalüüside, such as econometric Rajasalu (2003) and, in particular, the so-called “black box method: where God directly (that one time, Rajasalu) applied in the calculation of factor of amorphous social capital are not implemented – but indirectly we can find by Rajasalu (2003), sotsiaalkapitalile lähendeid, and, through them, the evaluation of the volumes of the NISC p. (c) the use of relevant international research-based estimates of the raw, subjective ( in this case, sadly, only the data of the temporal transformeerimist with the expected future amounts to diskonteerimisega (see OECD (2016)) the amounts, timing and past Estonian 2016 value-terms and conditions (see, e.g., Ennuste (1996)): NISC p. c-€ (0, 3; 1) M.
  3. the National traditional physical capital (OECD term – here the acronym NTFC). On OECD (2016), a study has claimed that TFC (natural resources, national infrastructure assets with, such as and, together with the full and includes light and gold) size is generally smaller than the SMHC – thus, roughly correspond to the conditions of the war initially, appreciate the hybrid not taller than 6 to 12 times the SGDP p. (c) perhaps in 2016. (a) the NTFC. p. (c) is in the range of € (0, 1, 0, 2) M.
  4. the Ethnic-National institutsioonkapitali (NINC) include, in particular, the assets of the national administrative institutions such as in particular, Fukuyama (2014): the national-and support political organisations, national conservation organizations, national monetary and fiscal system, together with the tax arrangements, international alliances, blokkidesse, membership, etc. Their financial olevikuväärtus, in particular, their investments to create a measurable and amortiseerumisega (Hodgson (1998)). The author’s opinion, their aggregated financial details as a reliable measurement of the makrovarade for the free mesoökonoomiliste in the bin of the plant) is probably still need a large detailed statistical field work to do micro: very, very tentatively, and subjectively/intuitively could NINC p. (c) rating range from € (0, 1, 0, 2) M – see, for example, Ennuste (by 2016).
  5. the National informal intellektuaalvara (NIIC) as the national: research and uskumusvara and cultural treasures are also measurable in these systems to advance the ages during the panustuste and hävitustega of the corresponding assets and the abductions (such as the destruction of the values of historical architecture by warfare, the libraries of the devastation, the works of art of stealing, etc.) in the opinion of the author, again, their aggregated financial details, free of makrovarade as a reliable measurement is probably still need a large detailed statistical field work to do: the very tentatively, and subjectively/intuitively could NIIC p. (c) rating range from € (0, 1; 0 , 2) M – see, for example, Ennuste (by 2016).

P.S.: Obviously it would be a different tõeväärtusega of the above, the provisional to peruse the large amounts macro ligikaudsusega totals (weighted the various rough tõeväärtustega) widely to publish is not worthwhile-before the study is not relevant to the international independent (sic!), the adjusted by oivakeskuste. But, however, these amounts can be quite likely to assume, such as that in Estonia until the studies of long-term occupation of the national majanduskahjude of the NLi’s-the modern macroeconomics and sotsiaalküberneetika rakursist-in the half-price: and it is hübriidsõja in the conditions of national strategies/policies need to optimize a numerically even large ligikaudsusega to know – because, unfortunately, the hübriidsõda is largely directed at reokupeerimisele and is based substantially on long-term occupation and prior to this waste of our national resources by the extent of damage (Schmid-Schmidsfelden & Potapova (2016) , RAND (2017).

 

P.S.P.S.: The accuracy of the probability of exceeding 0.7:

SMHC p. c-€ (0, 1, 0, 2) M-E (0, 2)-P (0, 9)

IMHC p. c-€ (0, 2, 0, 6), M-E (0, 4)-P (0, 8)

NISC p. c-€ (0, 3; 1) to M-E (0, 7)-P (0, 7)

NTFC p. c-€ (0, 1, 0, 2) M-E (0, 2) – (…)

NINC p. c-€ (0, 1, 0, 2) M-E (0, 2) – (…)

NIIC p. c-€ (0, 2, 0, 4), M-E (0, 3) – (…)

__________________________

Total p (c), (E), (2, 2) M and P (0, 7), where E is the code for the rounded average of the upward-and-P (…) of the conditional probability of the lower limit of the range, accuracy, and can adhere, such as P (0, 9), we assume an average of 95% of the usaldustõenäosust in the ring (usalduspiirides +/-15%), and P = (0, 7) in the case of usalduspiirides +/-50% and-(…) indicates that an adequate clarification of the data in the usaldusväärsuseni will continue. Technically, Bayes conditional probability is defieeritud ‘ lik if P (A/B), where B stands for usaldustõenäosust is currently used in the database here.

Thus, currently the entire nationalist would be the major financial resources of the rating in euro on average: (1, 3 x 10 * 6) (2×10, 2 * 6) = > 2, 5 x 10 * 12, or more than € 2, 5tn – where tn is the code of a trillion (trillion = 10 * 12 – where the * is the exponent symbol)-perhaps 2016 would be the major financial resources of the Estonian national estimate of the volume of 2.5 trillion euro in a circle: (2; 3) tn – P (0, 7).

While an average of one per Finnish financial resources could be the size of the currently important to evaluate an average of at least two times taller, perhaps at least five million euro in the ring – it plenty of higher inflation due to the lack of a long-term occupation of the NLi’s direct (see, for example, the cock (2005) and in the Ennuste (1996)). Thus, based on the resources we could assess the financial damage our long-term occupation in p. (c) now is to assess the two million euro in the ring: (1, 5; 2, 5), M perhaps nationalist (2; 3) within the limits of the euro likely tn P (0.7) in the ring. Add to that the remains of the cock (2005) by the corresponding assessment, published in particular, which was based on the kaotustele, at least, was the formal SGDP flows less than a dozen times as a member of the National Commission on – because the do not have the freedom to not take into account the moral informaalselt of national human or socio-cultural-and also in the physical-asset losses.

What’s more important to Rahi-Oak (2005), published by P (0, 9) the occupation of the fatal casualties include (in the context of the treatment of that era) is not included in the emigration of many of the repressed people not resident nor the relatives to a significant loss of operational resources of the reproduction of the population – yet the domestic aspect of the national makroökonoomilisest and sustainability is an important consideration of such factors – and – the data necessary for adequate adjustments in the coming years continues to be undertaken in the Baltic countries (StratCom COM? )-thus, the long-term national assessments of casualties of the financial volumes of the okupatsioonilised (the missing item 7.) for future studies will remain in parishes.

 

CITATIONS (grouped by their probabilities of tõesuste three)

The accuracy of the probability of exceeding 0.9

Diamond, Peter; Emmanuel Saez (AUGUST 2011) The Case for a Progressive Tax: From Basic Research to Policy Recommendations. CESIFO WORKING PAPER No. 3548 CATEGORY 1: PUBLIC FINANCE: http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/diamond-saezJEP11opttax.pdf

European Commission (February 2015), “What is the” Beyond GDP “:http://ec.europa.eu/environment/beyond_gdp/index_en.html

Fukuyama, Francis (2014) the Political Order and Political Decay. FARRAR, STRAUS and MORE DETRACTION, New York: 658.

Januskaite, Ms Virginija; Lina Uziene (by 2015), “Intellectual Capital Measurements and National Strategy Development: Explaining the Gap” – the Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences to 213 (2015) 161-166: Available online at http://www.sciencedirect.com

Abstract

The main purpose of the paper is to identify challenges that occur “developing strategies based on the national intellectual capital (NIC) in the measurements. As it can be observed from the IC to the literature, even though there are different methods to measure the NIC, they are not commonly used among policy makers as a tool for strategic management decisions to raise the competiveness of the nation. This paper compares different approaches to measure the NIC, reveals related problems and provides possible explanations accordingly. The findings of the paper show that there is a big gap between academic research and policy makers. The four major directions of explanations to bridge this gap are highlighted in the paper: (1) the poor awareness of IC concept among policy makers, (2) the methodology related issues, (3) changing the leadership profile and (4) collaboration related issues. The insights to the possible solutions are also presented. They reveal the need to research different countries regarding their NIC policy.

© by 2015 by The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Kissinger, Henry (2014-2017 (k) (e).) World Order. Allen Lane: 420 (Index is p408: Estonia, the Russian cyberattac is p 345).

Herbert Lindmäe, (2015-1999) SUVESÕDA … in 1941, Tartu, Estonia OÜ Greif: the 4825lk (sic! (IX) Volumes — more than).

On OECD STATISTICS DIRECTORATE (10-Oct-2011) MEASURING THE STOCK OF HUMAN CAPITAL FOR COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS: AN APPLICATION OF THE LIFETIME INCOME APPROACH TO SELECTED COUNTRIES- WORKING PAPER No. 41 (This paper has been prepared by the Gang Liu, E-mail: gang.liu@oecd.org): http://www.oecd.org/std/research

 

ABSTRACT

This paper summarizes the outcomes of the first phase of the OECD human capital project. In so doing, it shows the feasibility of applying the lifetime income approach to measuring human capital for comparative analysis, both across countries and over time. It also highlights the feasibility of applying the methodology to the categorical data (i.e. by 5-year or 10-year age group) that are typically available within the OECD statistics system, rather than to data by single year of age required by the original Jorgenson-Fraumeni methodology. The results in this paper indicate that the recoverable amount of the value of human capital is substantially larger than that of the traditional physical capital. Ratios of human capital to GDP, are in a range of from around eight to over ten across countries, broadly in line with those reported in a number of national studies. The distributions of human capital by age, gender, and education show that men dominate women in terms of their human capital holdings. In addition, people with higher education are better off than those with lower education, and the same is true for younger people, compared to their older counterparts, although the detailed patterns vary across countries. Decomposition on the analysis of changes in the volume of the human capital demonstrates that changes in population structure between men and women had little effect on the change of human capital per capita. While in all countries in higher educational attainment contributed positively to the change of human capital per capita, this is not always sufficient to offset the negative effect of population ageing;

as a result, the volume of the human capital per capita appeared to have declined in some countries over the observed period. Finally, a sensitivity analysis confirms that estimates of the value of human capital depend on the choice of the two key parameters, i.e. annual real income growth rate and discount rate, while within-country distribution of human capital and the trends of the volume of the human capital are less sensitive to these assumptions.

On OECD (2016), How’s Life in Estonia?  :

https://www.google.ee/webhp? of the sourceid = chrome-instant & ion = 1 & espv = 2 & ie = UTF-8 # q = OECD + (May + 2016) + How to% E2% 80% 99s + Life + in +% 3F + Estonia + Additional information% 2 c + the + business + data + used + in + this +% 2 c + the + country note can be + the +% 3A + the + found at URwww.oecd.org%2Fstatistics%2FBetter-Life-Initiative-2016-country-notes-data.xlsx

Eurostat (110/2016 – 6 June 2016) Migrant integration in the EU labour market in 2015:

http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/news/news-releases?p_p_id=101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_state=normal&p_p_mode=view&p_p_col_id=column-2&p_p_col_count=1&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_delta=20&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_keywords=&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_advancedSearch=false&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_andOperator=true&p_r_p_564233524_resetCur=false&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_cur=2

Ott, Ennuste, A.F., U. (1996) “the Anxiety as a Consequence of Liberalization: an Analysis of Opinion Surveys in Estonia” means the Social Science Journal, 33, 2, 149-164:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0362

Rahi-Oak, Aigi (2005) “the Human Losses,” In: The White Book: Losses Inflicted on the Estonian Nation by Occupation Regimes in 1940-1991 “, State Committee on the Investigation into the Repression Policy of Occupation, Tallinn, 2005: Estonian Encyclopaedia Publishers: 25-48:

http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

Teet Rajasalu, (2003) “The Indicators of economic freedom and economic structure as determinants of growth and convergence in the enlarging EU and priorities for Estonia”: In: Essays in Estonian transformation of economics, 2003, Tallinn, Estonia: 9-32.

Raukas, Anto (2005) “the Enormous Envirolmental Damage Caused by Occupation Army“, In: The White Book: Losses Inflicted on the Estonian Nation by Occupation Regimes in 1940-1991 “, State Committee on the Investigation into the Repression Policy of Occupation, Tallinn, 2005: Estonian Encyclopaedia Publishers: 133-140:

http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

STIGLITZ, Joseph E., Amartya SEN, Jean-Paul FITOUSSI et al. (2010) the Report by the Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress:

http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/gdp-and-beyond/publications

The report’s authors by Eurostat shows the composition of:

The leading

Professor Joseph E. STIGLITZ, Chair, Columbia University

Professor Amartya SEN, Has The Chair, Harvard University

Professor Jean-Paul FITOUSSI, Coordinator of the Commission, the IEP

http://www.stiglitz-sen-fitoussi.fr

  StratCom COE (UR15.III 2017) StratCom laughs. In search of an analytical framework – ISBN: 978-9934-564-12-3: http://www.stratcomcoe.org/publications

Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton (by 2015), “Economic shocks, the civil war and ethnicity” – the Journal of Development Economics 115:32-44:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleListURL&_method=list&_ArticleListID=-1175221378&_sort=r&_st=13&view=c&md5=d185b1e7697a1a536327b241f9e4dd3b&searchtype=a

Tirole, Jean (1992) The Theory of Industrial Organizations. The MIT Press: 479.

Toomse, Rene (2015) Defending Estonia in peace and war. Retaining a small state near the aggressive neighbor by utilizing unconventional strategies; (supervisor: Jyrki Käkönen) School of Governance, Law and Society, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia: 245:

http://www.etera.ee/zoom/8725/view?page=1&p=separate&view=0,0,2067,2834

Schmid-Schmidsfelden, Hubertus; Irina Potapova (2016) The Bear in Sheep’s Clothing: Russia’s Government-Funded Organisations in the EU. Wilfried Martens, Centre for European Studies:

https://www.google.ee/search?q=martensctre%20eu%20publications%20bear%20sheeps%20clothing%20russias%20government%20funded%20organisations

  StratCom COE (UR15.III 2017) StratCom laughs. In search of an analytical framework – ISBN: 978-9934-564-12-3: http://www.stratcomcoe.org/publications

Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton (by 2015), “Economic shocks, the civil war and ethnicity” – the Journal of Development Economics 115:32-44:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleListURL&_method=list&_ArticleListID=-1175221378&_sort=r&_st=13&view=c&md5=d185b1e7697a1a536327b241f9e4dd3b&searchtype=a

Tirole, Jean (1992) The Theory of Industrial Organizations. The MIT Press: 479.

Tongeren, Jan w., van Ruud Picavet (2016) “Bayesian estimation approach in the will; integration of the compilation and analysis “In the EURO, Eurostat — the Review is a National Accounts and are accompanied by Indicators: 7-49.

Toomse, Rene (2015) Defending Estonia in peace and war. Retaining a small state near the aggressive neighbor by utilizing unconventional strategies; (supervisor: Jyrki Käkönen) School of Governance, Law and Society, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia: 245:

http://www.etera.ee/zoom/8725/view?page=1&p=separate&view=0,0,2067,2834

Likely more than 0.8

Chou, Yuan (2006) “Three simple models of social capital and

economic growth “– The Journal of Socio-Economics 35 889-912:

DOI: 10.1016/j. socec. 2005.11.053

Abstract

This paper proposes three models of social capital and growth that incorporate different perspectives on the concept of social capital and the empirical evidence gathered to date. In these models, the social capital impacts growth by assisting in the accumulation of human capital, by affecting financial development through its effects is the collective trust and social norms, and by facilitating networking between firms that result in the creation and diffusion of business and technological innovations. We solve for the optimal allocation of resources channelled into the building of the so:: practical information for the capital, to examine the models ‘ comparative statics and dynamics, and demonstrate how a tax and subsidy scheme may correct the resource under-allocation that results from the public good aspect of social capital creation. Observed, in the social capital across countries are explained by, in government policies and the possibility of multiple equilibria and social capital, the poverty of noughts and crosses.

© 2006 Published by Elsevier Inc.

Ülo Ennuste, (14) “Towards Special Methodological Problems of Macro-Economic Coordination, International Sanctioning Sociocybernetic Optimal Modelling: the Introductory” Remarks “on the Preliminary Postulates and Conjectures” – the Baltic Journal of European Studies in Tallinn University of Technology (ISSN 2228-0588), vol. 4, no. 2, (17), 150-158:

http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/bjes.2014.4.issue-2/bjes-2014-0021/bjes-2014-0021.xml?format=INT

Hodgson, G. (2007) “Evolutionary and Institutional Economics as the New Mainstream?” – the Evolutionary Institutional Economics Review 4 (1): 7-25 .

Hodgson, G. (1998) the Institution Building as an Industrial Strategy. PHARE-ACE Research Project P95-2234-R. (co-author Ülo Ennuste ) In the University of Cambridge Working Papers: 527.

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THE INTERNATIONAL COMMISSION FOR THE INVESTIGATION OF CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY (2006) ESTONIA 1940-1945. TALLINN in 2006: http://www.historycommission.ee (NB: p1126).

Januskaite, Ms Virginija; Lina Uziene (by 2015), “Intellectual Capital Measurements and National Strategy Development: Explaining the Gap” – the Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences to 213 (2015) 161-166: Available online at http://www.sciencedirect.com

Abstract

The main purpose of the paper is to identify challenges that occur “developing strategies based on the national intellectual capital (NIC) in the measurements. As it can be observed from the IC to the literature, even though there are different methods to measure the NIC, they are not commonly used among policy makers as a tool for strategic management decisions to raise the competiveness of the nation. This paper compares different approaches to measure the NIC, reveals related problems and provides possible explanations accordingly. The findings of the paper show that there is a big gap between academic research and policy makers. The four major directions of explanations to bridge this gap are highlighted in the paper: (1) the poor awareness of IC concept among policy makers, (2) the methodology related issues, (3) changing the leadership profile and (4) collaboration related issues. The insights to the possible solutions are also presented. They reveal the need to research different countries regarding their NIC policy.

© by 2015 by The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Dan Kahan, M., Asheley Landrum, Katie Carpenter, Laura Helft, Kathleen Hall Jamieson (2017), “the Science of Curiosity and Political Information Processing”-the Political Psychology “-38:179-199, doi: 10.1111/pops .12396, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pops.12396/epdf

Kirch, Aksel; Marika Kirch, Tarmo Tuisk, Hanna-Hulda Reinkort and Aimar Altosaar (2008) “theEstonians, Emics and Etics, Russians in Contemporary Estonia: Is the Past still Dominating the Present?”

Presentation at the IACCP 2008 Congress in July 27-31, Bremen, Germany: the Working Papers of the Institute for European Studies of the International University Audentes in the No 1:

http://www.ies.ee/iaccp2008/Kirch_et_al_paper.pdf

http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:30058

Kirch, A., Snowstorm, T.; Reinkort, H.-H. (2011). the Estonians and Russians in Contemporary Estonia: Is the Past still Dominating the Present? In j. Deutsch, Boehnke M., U. K. Boehnke, Kühnen & (Eds.), Rendering obsolete the borders: Cross-cultural and cultural psychology as an interdisciplinary, multi-method endeavor. Bremen: Jacobs University Bremen: the International Association for cross-cultural Psychology. pp. 106-120.

Kissinger, Henry (2014) World Order. Allen Lane: 420 (408 p Index are: Estonia, the Russian cyberattac is p 345).

KUNČIČ, ALJAŽ (14) “Institutional quality dataset”- the Journal of Institutional Economics /Volume 10/Issue 01/March 2014, pp 135-161: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1744137413000192 (About DOI

Krugman, Paul (1990) Rethinking International Trade. The MIT Press: 282.

Kubiszewski, Ida; Robert Costanza, Carol Franco, Philip Lawn, John Talberth, Tim Jackson, Camille Aylmer (2013) “Beyond GDP: Measuring and achieving global genuine progress”- Ecological Economics 93 (13) 57-68 .

Laitin, David (1998) Identity in Formation: the Russian-speaking Populations in the Near Abroad. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.

Herbert Lindmäe, (2015-1999) SUVESÕDA … in 1941, Tartu, Estonia OÜ Greif: the 4825lk (sic! (IX) Volumes-created).

Lucas, Edward (2014), The New Cold War: Putin’s Russia and the Threat to the West (Amazon.com on the Kindle).

Matsushima Hitoshi Huruki Giants, (2008) “the Role of honesty in a full implementation,”- the Journal of Economic Theory, 139 2008 353-359: www.elsevier.com/locate/jet

Dan Kahan, M., Asheley Landrum, Katie Carpenter, Laura Helft, Kathleen Hall Jamieson (2017), “the Science of Curiosity and Political Information Processing”-the Political Psychology “-38:179-199, doi: 10.1111/pops .12396, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pops.12396/epdf

Kersti Kaljulaid, (2017): https://www.president.ee/et/meediakajastus/intervjuud/13147-qrussia-is-a-threat-estonia-frets-about-its-neighborq-the-washington-post/index.html

http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

KUNČIČ, ALJAŽ (14) “Institutional quality dataset”- the Journal of Institutional Economics Volume 10 Issue 01 March 2014, pp 135-161: http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1744137413000192 (About (D)

The Mountain, The Kadi; Kadri Leetmaa, Tiit Tammaru, Maarten van Ham (2016) “Types of spatial mobility and change in people’s ethnic residential contexts” – the DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH, VOLUME 34, ARTICLE 41, PAGES 1161-1192 PUBLISHED 28 JUNE 2016 http://www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol34/41/ DOI: 10.4054/DemRes. 2016.34.41:

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol34/41/default.htm

Young, Heino (2005) “Permanent Health Damages” In: The White Book: Losses Inflicted on the Estonian Nation by Occupation Regimes from 1940 to 1991, State Committee on the Investigation into the Repression Policy of Occupation, Tallinn, Estonian Encyclopaedia Publishers: 58-73: http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

On OECD (2011) for MEASURING THE STOCK OF HUMAN CAPITAL FOR COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS: AN APPLICATION OF THE LIFETIME INCOME APPROACH TO SELECTED COUNTRIES-the STATISTICS DIRECTORATE- WORKING PAPER No. 41 (This paper has been prepared by the OECD Statistics Directorate, Liu Gang): http://www.oecd.org/std/research

On OECD (2016), How’s Life in Estonia?  :

https://www.google.ee/webhp? of the sourceid = chrome-instant & ion = 1 & espv = 2 & ie = UTF-8 # q = OECD + (May + 2016) + How to% E2% 80% 99s + Life + in +% 3F + Estonia + Additional information% 2 c + the + business + data + used + in + this +% 2 c + the + country note can be + the +% 3A + the + found at URwww.oecd.org%2Fstatistics%2FBetter-Life-Initiative-2016-country-notes-data.xlsx

Ott, Ennuste, A.F., U. (1996) “the Anxiety as a Consequence of Liberalization: an Analysis of Opinion Surveys in Estonia” means the Social Science Journal, 33, 2, 149-164:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0362

Teet Rajasalu, (2003) “The Indicators of economic freedom and economic structure as determinants of growth and convergence in the enlarging EU and priorities for Estonia”: In: Essays in Estonian transformation of economics, 2003, Tallinn, Estonia: 9-32.

BEACH AREA (2017) https://www.google.ee/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=hybrid+warfare+in+the+baltics.+threats+and+potential+responses

Schmid-Schmidsfelden, Hubertus: Kristina Potapova (2016) The Bear in Sheep’s Clothing: Russia’s Government-Funded Organisations in the EU. Wilfried Martens, Centre for European Studies:

https://www.google.ee/search?q=martensctre%20eu%20publications%20bear%20sheeps%20clothing%20russias%20government%20funded%20organisations

Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton (by 2015), “Economic shocks, the civil war and ethnicity” – the Journal of Development Economics 115:32-44:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleListURL&_method=list&_ArticleListID=-1175221378&_sort=r&_st=13&view=c&md5=d185b1e7697a1a536327b241f9e4dd3b&searchtype=a

Tirole, Jean (1992) The Theory of Industrial Organizations. The MIT Press: 479.

Toomse, Rene (2015) Defending Estonia in peace and war. Retaining a small state near the aggressive neighbor by utilizing unconventional strategies; (supervisor: Jyrki Käkönen); School of Governance, Law and Society, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia: 245lk:

http://www.etera.ee/zoom/8725/view?page=1&p=separate&view=0,0,2067,2834

 Tõesusega more than 0.7

Ülo Ennuste, (2016): https://uloennuste.wordpress.com/2016/11/18/do-not-quote-18-xi-16/

Ennuste, Ü. (2008) “Synthetic Conceptions of Design for the Public instead of Mechanisms Implementing Socio-Economic Information Structure: Illustrative Examples of Estonian.” In: Kirch, Aksel et al. (Eds.) the Socio-economic and institutional environment: harmonisation in the EU countries of the Baltic Sea Rim: Tallinn University of Technology, 9-39: http://www.ies.ee/iesp/No4/Ennuste.pdf

Ennuste, Ü. (1993) “An outline for a quote on the long-term economic damage by means of analogy”- proceedings of the Estonian IT. The humanities and social sciences, 42, 1, 1-4 .

The Cock, The Kalev (2005) “Economic Damages In: The White Book: Losses Inflicted on the Estonian Nation by Occupation Regimes from 1940 to 1991, State Committee on the Investigation into the Repression Policy of Occupation, Tallinn, Estonian Encyclopaedia Publishers: 141-171: http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

(there is no assessment of the loss of national resources)

The Ministry of finance (12. (IV) 2017), 2017. the spring economic forecast. RM võrguteavik: 76lk means the compiler of the Madis Aben .

NB: the sustainability of the national (RJ) is the aspect of this is the line that will reduce the disadvantages of the credibility of the (a), such as Estonian RJ lähendi-convergence EU/28 for the average (mm) in the “forecast” is here until 2015! – with 2016 on the formal statistics is available – Furthermore, it is the “prognosis” teadustühiselt currency PPS garbled (b) projections is the big gap in this regard that there is no macro-resources for the prognosis, such as part of the balance of payments – therefore remains unknown to what extent will continue in the coming years through the national financial accounts financial assets slikerdamine under the petunimede of investments abroad by residents as well as e-by the residents of the (c) the reliability of the forecasts published by the severe lack of usalduspiiride and the regressandide of several of the decreases, thus probably the hübriidsõja risks (in particular, the sanctions of the war) in nationalist irresponsible ignoring.

 

 

Visand 24.IV 17 (automaattõlkimiseks)

Ülo Ennuste (24.IV 17) Sotsiaal-küberneetiline lühiuurimus väikese rahvusriigi eksistentsiaalsete ressursside ligikaudse rahalise hindamise meetoditest, hübriid-jätkusõja tingimustes rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse tõenäosuse kriteeriumi alusel: illustreerivaid eksperimentaal-arvutusi Eesti näitel koos eelmise poolesajandilise okupatsiooni kui ka selle pikaajaliste jäänuste kahjustuste negatiivsete mõjude ilmutatud arvestamisega

Eelmärkusi  

XXI sajandi akadeemiline sotsiaal-küberneetika peavool hindab hübriid sõja tingimustes solidaarsestesse kooperatiivsesse/koordineeritavasse suurliitudesse kuuluva rahvusliku väikeriigi majanduslikku-, sotsiaalset- ja küberneetilist-edukust eeskätt Meta-GDP põhiselt: eeskätt rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse lähendi – konvergentsi kestlikkuse tingliku Bayes’liku tõenäosuse muutude alusel – ning makro-mudelites rahvuslikke institutsioone (Hodgson (2007;1998) ja ressursse ning riske ilmutatud kujul rahaliselt kvantifitseerides nii positiivselt kui negatiivselt –  ja seda eriti inimkapitali ning ka sotsiaalkapitali mahtude rahalise mõõtmisega nii otseselt kui kaudselt – ning rahaliselt mõõtes ka viimatise pikaajalise terroristliku okupatsiooni poolt tekitatud rahvuslikke kaotusi eeskätt inim-, sotsiaal- ning kultuuri-vara jne osas – sest praeguses hübriidsõjas on agressori eesmärgiks järjekordselt eestluse jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse tõenäosuse erodeerimine püüdes selleks ka tugineda eelnenud okupatsiooni poolt tekitatud komplikatsioonidele – optimaalsete heidutus-strateegiate ja –poliitikate kavandamine nõuab vastavate rahvuslike ressursside mahtude võrreldavat kvantitatiivset hindamist ning selleks koostööd teaduslikku koostööd liitlaste sõltumatute oivakskustega.

  • Stiglitz et al. (2010) panevad rangelt teadusloogiliselt kindlalt paika et standardsed/formaalsed GDP indikaatorid on valdavas osas kitsalt turumajanduslikel voogudel põhinevad ja seega sobimatud nii rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse kui ka heaolu hindamiseks – seda eriti hübriidsõja suure määramatuse ning riskide tingimustes – ning ka rahvuslike tulude teaduslagedate ümberjagamise disfunktsionaalsete institutsioonide tingimustes (nt 0-kasumimaks mis partnerriike kahjustab ja hübriidsõjas agressorit subsideerib jne); edasi jäävad turumajanduslikust arvestusest välja nii rahvusliku sotsiaal-, inim-, kultuur- jne kapitalide/varade loomise jooksvate mahtude arvestused ning ressursside varude kui faktotite arvestused: mis veelgi olulisem et standardse GDP arvestuse sisse lähevad parajasti positiivselt nt mitmed hübriidsõja poolt põhjustatud kuriteod – nt 2007 pronksmäsu purustuste taastamistööd jne (Raporti usaldusväärsust kinnitab autorite teaduslik tippkompetentsus – koosseis lisatud – selles puuduvad nii politikaanid kui ka pankurid ning plutokraadid ja muud magnaadid nagu meil tavaks jne)

NB: Tõelise (G) mitteformaalse/teaduspõhise GGDP mahtude mõningad esialgsed rakenduslikud kvantitatiivsed hinnangumeetodid ja nende esialgsed tulemused arvestades mitteformaalseid nn sateliitkontosid on kirjeldatud ülevaatlikult järgnevates uurimustes

  http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/gdp-and-beyond/publications

http://ec.europa.eu/environment/beyond_gdp/index_en.html

 osundavad et akadeemilised/informaalsed GGDP mahud duaalhindades (ehk varihindades) milliseid on võimalik turuhindade puudumisel optimiseerimisteooriate võimekustega ligikaudselt rahaliselt hinnata – ületavad standardseid magnituudides ning inimressursside (laias mõistes koos põhielanikkonna reprodutseerimise kapitaliga) rahaline väärtus ületab selles kontekstis oluliselt füüsilise kapitali mahtu (vt nt OECD (2011) mis kahjuks kitsalt turumajandusliku statistika alusel ja kus Eesti kohta arvutused puuduvad – ja OECD (2016) kus leidub mõnigaid kaudseid kvantifikatsioone ka Eesti sotsiaalkapitali kohta).

  • Stiglitz et al. järgi arvestada tuleb adekvaatselt elanikkonna rahvuslikku turuvälist tegevust nii tulude hankimisel kui ka rahvuslike investeeringute soetamisel ja rahvuslike ressursside loomisel – seda eriti nii rahvusliku inim- kui ka sotsiaal- ning füüsilise- ja institutsionaal- kapitali soetamisel kodumajapidamiste ja turuväliste institutsioonide poolt – ning nende ressursside rahaliste mahtude hindamisel – ja seda suuresti informaalsete duaalhindade alusel. OECD (2011) keeruka valemi järgi inimkapitali mahu hindamine on keerukas isegi kitsalt turumajandusliku käsitluse puhul kus nt ei arvestata ka põlisrahva reproduktiivsusega seotud kodumajapidamiste inimressurssi – sama vihjavad Diamond&Saez jne; samuti ka sotsiaalkapitaliga lood eriti hübriidsõja riskide tingimustes arvestades sellega kaasnevaid rahvuslikke änge (vt nt Ott&Ennuste (1996) mis asümmeetrilised etniliste rühmade lõikes nt: eestikeelsed ja venekeelsed). Ja vt ka Chou (2006) abstrakti mis lisatud; rääkimata rahvuslikest küberneetiliste institutsionaalkapitalide rahalistest hinnanguest – KUNČIČ (2014).
  • Siinjuures on kahetsusväärne et suures osas meie rahvuslikud majandus- ning rahandus-poliitikud on poliitiliselt kitsalt motiveerituna jäänud rahvuslikult ebaadekvaatsete deterministlike GDP indikaatorite kummardajateks siiani (vt LISA) – mis moonutavad nende arusaamu tegelikust olukorrast ja riskide suurusest ning viivad neid rahvuslikult ränkadele väärotsustustele nt putinoid trollide poolt tekitatavatele rahvusliku sotsiaalkapitali kahjustustele eeskätt kiilulõõmisega ELis ning NATOs. Seda eriti hübriidsõja riskide tingimustes (vt Kissinger (2014), Lucas (2014), Toomse (2015), Kaljulaid (2017) jne) ning veelgi rohkem majandusküberneetiliste mehhanismide disainimisel – Diamond&Saez (2011) järgi nt praegune meie 0-kasumimaks on teaduslage mehhanism ning samas negatiivne institutsioon – eriti kui arvestada riskidega ning määramatustega.
  • Näiteid hübriidsõja probleemidest: strateegilise kommunikatsiooni sõjast 1) vt nt sanktsioonide sõjast Ennuste (2014) toodud kirjanduse viidetest et on vaja hierarhilist koordineerimissüsteemi kooperatiivses liidus 2) strateegilise kommunikatsiooni sõjast vt viiteid Ennuste (2008) et on vaja „sõnavabaduse“ piiranguid kremlimeelsete trollide suhtes jne 3) tähelpanu väärib ka nn ifolõhe akadeemilise ning poliitkorporatiivse leeri vahel (Januskaite&Uziene (2015) ja Kahan et al. (2017) tõdevad et seda lõhet mõnevõrra võib leevenda mõningate võimurite uudishimu) süvenemine strateegilises kommunikatsioonisõjas akadeemiliste ja poliitiliste institutsioonide vahel (vt ka StratCom COE (2015)) – seda eriti väikerahvuslike jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse riskide tõenäosuslikkuse mõistmise osas 4) eriti sügav lõhe on on ühelt poolt tõenäosusliku käsitluse (teadusloogilises käsitluses tõde on tõenäosuslik ja vale ning faktoidid võivad pärineda mitte ainult pudrupäisusest vaid tõenäoselt ka sulilikust salakavalsusest (Wiener (1948)) – eriti strateegilises kommunikatsioonis) – ning teiselt poolt subjektiivse poliit-determinismi vahel (kus kasutusel hägusloogika).

Näide: NLi poolt pikaajalise okupatsiooni ja selle jäätmetega tekitatud rahvuslike täilike tõeliste kahjude rahalisest hindamisest kus arvestatakse eeskätt inimvaradega nt

 https://uloennuste.wordpress.com/2016/11/18/do-not-quote-18-xi-16/

NB: nt NLi pikaajalise okupatsiooni poolt Eestile tekitatud kahjude täiesti formaalne (riikliku standardese statistika alusel seega rahvuslike ressursside olemeid arvestamata) korrektne hinnang (Kukk (2005) tõenäoselt piirides (0,1;0,2)tn eurot (tn on 10 astmel 12) – seda küll 2004. a. andmete ja makroökonoomiliste peavoolu teooriate ning metodoloogiate alusel) ning – nagu tookordse Riikliku Komisjoni raames diplomaatiliselt eetiliselt korrektselt (nt Kirch et al. (2009)) oli võimalik (sh on Kukk vastutustundlikult tõdenud et NLi okupatsioon oli sisuliselt kolonisatsioon mis Fukuyama (2014 lk391) järgi seab esmaseks põlisrahvuse hävitamise) – arvestades nt et meie II Vabadussõja (Lindmäe (1999-2015) Köide IX lk542)) kaotused tulid täiesti maha vaikida – osutub nüüd parajasti hübriidsõja riskide tingimustes ning informaalsetes teaduspõhistes käsitlustes täiesti tühiseks – seda eriti meie rahvuslike inimvarade tohutute kaotuste tõttu barbaarses okupatsioonis ning pikaajaluste kahjustuste arvestuses mis jätkuvad siiani (Raukas (2005) nt radioaktiivsed jäätmed – vt ka LISA).

P.S.: On selge et ülalkirjeldatud kompleksete rahvuslike rahaliste informaalsete akadeemiliste tõenäosuslike (suuresti Bayes’like subjektiivsete hinnangute alusel: Tongeren et al. (2016) ning kaudsete makroökonoomiliste mõõtmiste tulemustel nagu nt Rajasalu (2003)) hinnangute usaldusväärsust hübriidsõja määramatuste ning strateegilise antagonistliku kommunikatsiooni tingimustes saab kindlustada – ainult ja ainult – laialdase hästi koordineeritud rahvusvahelise koostöö raames – rahvuslike teadmusstruktuuride sünergia metasünteesis. Jääb ehk vaid veel lisada et nendes rahvuslikes teadmus-struktuurides sisaldub tohutu akadeemiline vara – eeskätt sadade asjakohaste tippteaduslike ajakirjade ning sadade tuhandete tippteoreetiliste uurimuste sees peidus – kuigi mitmedki nendest uurimustest võib leida/osta mõne klikiga nt ka allolevate osunduste kirjandusviidetest – kuid ühelgi väikeriigil ei ole tippteadlaste pink küllalt pikk et kogu selles suures multi-dimensionaalsuses ning dünaamikas ja määramatuses ning komplementaarsete meetodite vallas üksi opereerida ning püüda arvukaid poliitpõhiseid korporatiivseid rahvuslikku jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse tõenäosust õõnestavaid populistlikke väärotsuseid ära hoida – kuigi kohati oleks seda võimalik kiiresti ja kergesti teha nt: (a) nt teaduspõhiselt on  strateegilise kommunikatsiooni sõjas teatav “sõnavabaduse” piiramine absoluutselt oblikatoorne (vt nt Ennuste (2008). Nt isegi President Kaljulaid’i WaPo artiklile – https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/russia-is-a-threat-estonia-frets-about-its-neighbor/2017/03/24/011ad320-0f2b-11e7-9b0d-d27c98455440_story.html?utm_term=.ab0febde5386 – on ilmselt tosinad Kremli trollid diversioonilisi kommentaare lisanud (ja seda naljakam on et samas artiklis tunnistatakse ilmselt poliit-korrektsusest tõsiseltvõetavaks ilmselt kremlimeelse Y. Toom’i faktoidi nagu et venekeelses Narvas polevat parajasti mitte ühtegi putinoidi – muide Narva muudeti kiskjaliku NLi poolt venekeelseks sõjakuritegelikult etnilise puhastuse käigus ning seega parajasti eriti ohtlikus olukorras võimaliku kodusõja sütikuna Venemaa kaasabil – vt nt Thorsten&Riera-Crichton (2015)) (b) väga lihtne oleks läheneva Eesti eesistumise ajal EL/27-s jõustada teaduspõhised riske ning sulisid arvestavad maksuseadused mis liikmesriikides kõlvatute hargmaiste maksuparadiiside institutsioonid likvideeriks (vt EL Komisjoni vastavaid ettevalmistavaid Raporteid viimatistel aastatel) – ja – sellega EL/27 kui terviku nii sotsiaalkapitali kui ka kaitsevõimet suurendaks (samas kui meil teadustühiselt asendusteemasid kilplaslikult seltskonnameedias üles soojendatakse ning rahvuslikku teadmusruumi hägustatakse nt robotite sotsiaalmaksustamise dispuutidega jne :==) (c) mis selles hübriidsõjas meie jaoks eriti oluline et kiskjalik agressor eelnenud okupatsioonis kahjustas inimsusevastaselt oluliselt meie nii etnilist kui ka vaimset rahvuslikku struktuuri (vt nt Mägi et al. (2016) ja Noor (2005)) ning nüüd püüab valelikult siinse venekeelse elanikkonna inimõiguste päästmise nimel järjekordselt okupatsiooni taastada seejuures eestluse rahvuslikku sotsiaalkapitali nii rahvuslikult kui ka ideoloogiliselt lõhestades: seejuures üheks peamiseks relvaks valed valede otsa – nagu poleks okupatsiooni olnudki ja et küüditamise olid eesti rahva päästmiseks ning vene keel tuleb taastada riigikeelena jne. Täiesti kindlasti olid okupatsioonis meie põhirahvuse inimvara ja rahvusliku teadmusruumi kvaliteedi kaotused tohutud ning pikaajalised – XXI sajandi mõistes magnituudides suuremad senihinnatutest ja siiani oluliselt vähendavad eestluse jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse tõenäosust – kuni ajaloolisele tõele tõeliselt/teaduspõhiselt näkku ei vaadata: nt et suure tõenäosusega juba tunamullu Tallinnas v.k domineeris (uurimuse Mägi et al. (2016) järgi).

P.S.P.S.: (a) tekst on mõeldud erialase rahvusvahelise koostöö hõlbustamiseks ning selles mõttes eeskätt ingl masintõlke jaoks sobivaid termineid ning koma asemel mõttekriipse kasutades ja nt GDP (kodumaine kogutoodang ja mitte SKT/SKP jne) (b) 30.III 2017 Eurostat avaldas värske ülevaate EL/28 276 piirkonna GDP p.c ebavõrdsuste kohta: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/news/news-releases. Kuigi see ülevaade on XXI sajandi makroökonoomika seisukohalt vaegteaduslik (vt nt Atkinson (2017) – nt kajastab ainult kitsalt turumajanduslikke indekseid) – siiski võib sellest ülevaatest nt ka OECD teadusosakondade raportite põhjal järeldada et ELi kui terviku sotsiaalkapitali tase on tõenäoselt vilets sest nende piirkondade majanduslike tasemete dispersioon on väga suur (seejures Balti-Riigid on piirkondadeks liigendamata jäänud. (c) vähemalt Eesti eesistumise ajal tuleks EL/27-s see probleem teaduspõhiselt Agendasse suruda  seda eriti arvestades et nt Econ.com 1.IV 2017 värske GDP prognoosi alusel 2018 kohta näib suure tõenäosusega et liikmesriikide lõikes on võimalik väita et sigma divergents näib jätkuvalt süvenevat ning seega mitmegi perifeeriariigi (eriti mis külgnevad kiskjaliku (Tirole (1992) termin oligopolide teoorias) impeeriumiga) rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse tõenäosus näib eksistentsiaalselt kahanevat – kui endiselt võimurid eriti liikmesriikides (eriti kus venekeelsete kontsentreeritus kõrge) tõelistest sotsiaal-küberneetilistest (inc EL/27 kui terviku sotsiaalkapitali edendamisest) probleemidest pankurite/kröösuste juhtimisel populistlikult/teaduslagedalt mööda vaatavad (muide ajaleht The Economist omab kompetentset teadusosakonda).

Arusaadavalt peab Agendasse kuuluma ka see probleemistik:

http://www.europarl.europa.eu/sides/getDoc.do?type=TA&reference=P8-TA-2016-0440&language=ET&ring=A8-2016-0317

Tänuavaldused: tänan SA VALGE RAAMAT juhatust rahalise toetuse eest mis võimaldas mul hankida ligemale poolsada tasulist värsket teaduspublikatsiooni sh väga kiiresti Amazon Kindle viimatisi suhtkalleid monograafiaid; sügav tänu Tallinna Ülikooli Akadeemilisele Raamatukogule võimaldamaks minul tasuta juurdepääsu tuhandetele sciensdirect.com artiklitele; asjalike nõuannete ning märkuste eest avaldan tänu oma pika-ajalistele akadeemilistele kolleegidele sellel alal: Geoffrey Hodgson, Attiat F. Ott, Ilari Tyrni, Teet Rajasalu, Peep Varju, Jaak Uibu, Aigi Rahi-Tamm, Alari Purju, Aksel Kirch, Anton Laur, …

Eriti tänulik oleks oodatavatele heategevuslikele kaasautoritele –  olen täiesti teadlik et niivõrd komplitseeritud prognostilisel alal üksi tegutsemine põhimõtteliselt ei loo praktiliselt piisava tõeväärtusega tulemusi.

 

LISA (retsenseerimata ja toimetamata visand 23.IV 17 – mitte viidata)

                                            „Parem  ligikaudu õige kui täpselt vale“

                                                                                              J.M. Keynes

Rahvuslike nähtavate ja nähtamatute makro-ressursside ligikaudse rahalise hindamise näiteid ning vastavate pikaajaliste okupatsioonikahjude mõjude rahalisest hindamisest – Eesti rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse kestlikkuse tõenäosuse aspektist nii rahvusvaheliste liitude kui hübriidsõja tingimustes

  1. Standardne/formaalne turumajanduslik inimkapital (SMHC) elaniku kohta (p.c) keskmiselt on OECD (2011) üldistatud tulemuste ülekandmise alusel (vt Abstract väidet et kogu SMHC on 8 kuni üle 10 korra suurem standardsest GDP mahust (SGDP) – kusjuures taoliste uuringute tulemuste tõesuse tõenäosust hinnatakse vähemalt 0,9 tasemele. See OECD uuring on tehtud tosina suhteliselt rikka ning etniliselt homogeense rahvusliku suurriigi kohta ja selle tulemuste Bayes’likul ülekandmisel etniliselt polaarsele ning rikkas majandusliidus perifeersele väikeriigile nõuab nii tulemuste vastavat usaldus-tõenäosuse vähendamist kui ka usalduspiiride laiendamist (vt ntTongeren&Picavet(2016)) ja ametliku statistika (GDP ja elanike arvu jne) andmetel saame suure ligikaudsusega ning samas ilmselt piisava subjektiivse/Bayesliku tõenäosusega (0,8) esialgselt hinnata et Eesti 2016 jooksvates turuhindades ja oodatavate turumajanduslike sissetulekute meetodil – keskmine SMHC p.c asetseb lõigus: €(0,1;0,2)M – kus 0,1 ja 0,2 on lõigu alumine ja ülemine usalduspiir ning M tähistab miljonit.

NB: (a) see on kogu elanikkonna keskmise usalduslõik kusjuures OECD (2011) järgi nt mõne eliit-kohordi keskmine võib ligemale kaks korda seda keskmist ületada ehk olla nt €(0,1;0,2)M ning vastupidiselt – on ilmselt hübriidsõja tingimustes otstarbekas defineerida negatiivse keskmisega kohorte (b) kogu rahvusliku SMHC olemi määramisel 2016. a. seisuga  kasutatava elanike neto arvu juures tuleb siinkohal arvestada ainult kodumaiste residentidega ning nt okupatsioonist tingitud elanikkonna pöördumatute kaotuste hulka kuuluvad majanduslikus mõttes ka okupatsiooni aegsed emigrandid, okupatsiooni ajal poliitiliselt diskrimineeritud isikud, okupatsiooni tõttu kaotatud haridusvõimalused ning tervisekahjustused (c) ning mis samuti oluline: kogu elanikkonna struktuuri moonutamisega (eeskätt venestamisega) tekitatud kahjustused (kuna Eurostati (2016) järgi kolmandates riikides sündinute (seega eeskätt venekeelsete) positiivne majandusaktiivsus on madalam meie põhirahvuse omast – kuid need statistilised andmed vajavad parajasti täpsustamist (sest hübriidsõja tingimustes viimastel aastatel on etniline polaarsus ilmselt süvenemas).

  1. Informaalne/turuväline kodumajanduslik (sic! puhtmajanduslik kuid hinnatud standardsetes jooksvates turuhindades) IMHC p.c ehk ka nn satelliit GDP (kodune laste kasvatamine, kodune eakate hooldamine, kodused majapidamistööd jne) mahud hinnatakse statistikute (nt aktiivsete tegevustundide ametlike statistikate alusel) poolt keskmiselt 2 kuni 3 korda suuremateks kui IMHC p.c – seega €(0,2;0,6)M.
  2. Rahvuslik informaalne sotsiaalkapital (amorfne=nähtav/mittenähtav ning formaalne statistika suuresti puudulik – akronüüm NISC):Eesti kohta 2013 seisuga on mõningaid kvantitatiivseid mõõtmisi tehtud sotsiaalkapitali indeksi taseme kohta OECD (2016) uurimuses – kus on küll kahjuks piirdutud ainult rahvusliku üldise koostöövalmiduse taseme hindamisega 10 punkti süsteemis ja näitaja struktuuri ilmutatud kujul ei esitata – mis olevat enam vähem EL/28 keskmisel tasemel 5,8 punkti. Seejuures eristamata/separeerimata selliseid faktoreid nagu: elanikkonna reproduktiivsus ning sellega seotud perekondlikud bioloogilised kapitalid, sotsiaalsete/seltskondlike ühenduste kapital, majanduslik ebavõrdsus, etniline heterogeensus, agressor impeeriumi strateegilise kommunikatsiooni diversioonoperatsioonide destruktiivne negatiivne mõju, hübriidsõja ängide etniline asümmeetrilisus (nt Ott&Ennuste (1996)) jne. Rahvusliku informaalse (formaalne/riiklik statistika oluliselt puudub eriti hindade osas) sotsiaalkapitali (NISC) rahalise mahu p.c hindamiseks (sh nt eriti reproduktiivsus-kapitali mahu hindamiseks) standardsed turuhinnad puuduvad ning tuleb kõrge usaldusväärsusega uuringutes esmalt siirduda informaalsete duaalhindade (varihindade) kasutamisele. Seda ideaalis suurte dünaamiliste stohhastiliste optimeerimismudelite dekomponeeritud lahendamisel kus duaalhinnad kujunevad endogeenselt (kahjuks Eesti kohta taolised kvantifitseeritud mudelid parajasti puuduvad) Siis jääb üle suurema ligikaudsusega ning väiksema usaldusväärsusega taanduda rahvusvaheliste paneelide ökonomeetriliste faktoranalüüside kasutamisele nt Rajasalu (2003) ja eeskätt nn musta kasti meetodil: kus küll otseselt (tollele Rajasalu ajale omaselt) amorfse sotsiaalkapitali faktorit rakenduslikes arvutustes ei rakendatud – kuid kaudselt saame Rajasalu (2003)järgi leida sotsiaalkapitalile lähendeid ning nende kaudu NISC p.c mahtude hindamisel toorelt kasutama vastavate rahvusvaheliste teaduspõhiste hinnangute subjektiivset (antud juhul kahetsusväärselt ainult andmete ajalise transformeerimist koos tuleviku oodatavate summade diskonteerimisega (vt OECD (2016)) ja mineviku summade ajastamisega Eesti 2016 hinna-tingimustesse (vt nt Ennuste (1996)): NISC p.c – €(0,3;1)M.
  3. Rahvuslik traditsiooniline füüsiline kapital (OECD termin – siin akronüüm NTFC).  OECD (2016) uurimuse väitel TFC (loodusvarad, rahvuslikud infrastruktuuri varad koos nt raskerelvastusega ning koos kulla ja finantsvaradega) maht on üldiselt väiksem kui SMHC – seega ligikaudselt hindame esialgselt hübriid sõja tingimustes mitte kõrgemaks kui 6 kuni 12 kordne SGDP p.c ehk 2016. a. NTFC p.c on vahemikus €(0,1;0,2)M.
  4. Rahvus-riikliku institutsioonkapitali (NINC) hulka kuuluvad eeskätt rahvuslike administratiivsete institutsioonide varad nagu eeskättFukuyama(2014) järgi: riiklikud- ja poliit-organisatsioonid, rahvusliku kaitse organisatsioonid, rahvuslik monetaar-ja fiskaal-süsteem koos maksusüsteemiga, rahvusvahelistesse liitudesse, blokkidesse, kuulumine jne. Nende rahaline olevikuväärtus on eeskätt mõõdetav nende loomiseks tehtud investeeringutega ning amortiseerumisega (Hodgson (1998)). Autori arvates nende agregeeritud makrovarade usaldusväärseks detailide vabaks rahaliseks mõõtmiseks mesoökonoomiliste agregaatide aluse) on ilmselt vaja veel mahukaid detailseid statistilisi välitöid teha mikrotasandil: väga esialgselt ning subjektiivselt/intuitiivselt võiks NINC p.c hinnang olla vahemikus €(0,1;0,2)M – vt nt Ennuste (2016).
  5. Rahvuslik informaalne intellektuaalvara (NIIC) nagu rahvuslik: teadus- ja uskumusvara ning kultuurivara on samuti mõõdetavad nendesse süsteemidesse eelnevalt aegade jooksul tehtud panustuste ning vastavate varade hävitustega ning röövimistega (nt okupantide poolt ajalooliste arhitektuuri väärtuste hävitamise, raamatukogude laastamise, kunstiteoste varastamisega jne) Jällegi autori arvates nende agregeeritud makrovarade usaldusväärseks detailide vabaks rahaliseks mõõtmiseks on ilmselt vaja veel mahukaid detailseid statistilisi välitöid teha: väga esialgselt ning subjektiivselt/intuitiivselt võiks NIIC p.c hinnang olla vahemikus €(0,1;0,2)M – vt nt Ennuste (2016).

P.S.: Arusaadavalt oleks ülaltoodud subjektiivseid erineva tõeväärtusega esialgseid suure ligikaudsusega makro summade kokkuvõtteid (kaalutud erinevate ligikaudsete tõeväärtustega) laialt avaldama pole mõttekas – enne kui  uuringut ei ole vastavate rahvusvaheliste sõltumatute (sic!) oivakeskuste poolt korrigeeritud. Kuid siiski nende summade saab juba üsna suure tõenäosusega oletada nt – et Eestis seni tehtud uuringud NLi pikaajalise okupatsiooni rahvuslike majanduskahjude kohta on – tänapäeva makroökonoomika ja sotsiaalküberneetika rakursist – magnituudides allahinnatud: ja seda on hübriidsõja tingimustes rahvuslike strateegiate/poliitikate optimeerimiseks vaja numbriliselt kasvõi suure ligikaudsusega teada – sest paraku hübriidsõda on suuresti reokupeerimisele suunatud ning tugineb oluliselt eelnenud pikaajalise okupatsiooni ja selle jäätmete poolt meie rahvuslike ressursside kahjustuste ärakasutamisele (Schmid-Schmidsfelden&Potapova (2016), RAND (2017).

 

P.S.P.S.: Tõesuse tõenäosusega üle 0,7:

SMHC p.c – €(0,1;0,2)M –  E(0,2) – P(0,9)

IMHC p.c – €(0,2;0,6)M –   E(0,4) – P(0,8)

NISC p.c –   €(0,3;1)M   –    E(0,7) – P(0,7)

NTFC p.c –  €(0,1;0,2)M   – E(0,2) – (…)

NINC p.c –  €(0,1;0,2)M –   E(0,2) – (…)

NIIC p.c –    €(0,2;0,4)M –  E(0,3) – (…)

__________________________

Kokku p.c E(2,2)M ja P(0,7) – kus E on ülespoole ümardatud keskmise tähis  – ja P(…) tingliku tõesuse tõenäosuse vahemiku võimalk alampiir ning nt P(0,9) puhul eeldame keskmiselt usaldustõenäosust 95% ringis (usalduspiirides +/-15%) ning P=(0,7) puhul usalduspiirides +/-50% ja – (…) tähistab et andmete täpsustamine piisava usaldusväärsuseni jätkub. Tehniliselt Bayes’lik tinglik tõenäosus on defieeritud kui P(A/B) kus B tähistab siin parajasti kasutatava andmebaasi usaldustõenäosust.

Seega parajasti kogu rahvuslikult oleks eurodes olulisemate ressursside rahaline hinnang keskmiselt: (1,3×10*6)(2,2×10*6)=>2,5×10*12 ehk rohkem kui €2,5tn  – kus tn on triljoni tähis (triljon =10*12 – kus * on astendaja tähis) – ehk 2016 oleks eesti olulisemate rahvuslike ressursside rahalise mahu hinnang 2,5 triljoni euro ringis: (2;3)tn – P(0,7).

Samas keskmiselt ühe soomlase kohta võiks parajasti oluliste ressursside rahalist mahtu hinnata keskmiselt vähemalt kaks korda kõrgemaks ehk vähemalt viie miljoni euro ringis – seda palju kõrgemana pikaajalise otsese NLi okupatsiooni puudumise tõttu (vt nt Kukk (2005) ja Ennuste (1996)). Seega võiksime ressursside põhiselt hinnata meie pikaajalise okupatsiooni rahalist kahju p.c praegu hinnata kahe miljoni euro ringis: (1,5;2,5)M ehk rahvuslikult (2;3)tn euro piiridesse tõenäosusega P(0.7) ringis. Jääb lisada et Kukk (2005) poolt aastal avaldatud vastav hinnang mis põhines eeskätt SGDP formaalsete voogude kaotustele oli vähemasti tosin korda väiksem – sest riikliku komisjoni liikmena ei omanud moraalset vabadust informaalselt arvestada ei rahvuslike inim- ega sotsiaal-kultuuriliste- ning ka füüsiliste-varade kaotustega.

Mis veelgi olulisem et Rahi-Tamm (2005) poolt korrektselt avaldatud P(0,9) okupatsiooni pöördumatud inimkaotuste hulka (tolle ajastu käsitluse kontekstis) ei ole arvestatud ei emigratsiooni ega ka represseeritute paljude residentidest sugulaste olulist väljalangemist töövõimeliste ning elanike reproduktsiooni ressurssidest  – ometi kodumaisest makroökonoomilisest ning rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse aspektist on taoliste faktorite arvestamine oluline – ning – nende andmete osas vajalikud piisavad täpsustused lähematel aastatel jätkuvalt näivat Balti-Riikides toimuvat (StratCom COM ?) – seega pikaajalised rahvuslikud okupatsioonilised inimkaotuste mahtude rahalised hindamised (puuduv punkt 7.) jäävad edaspidiste uurimuste valda.

 

        OSUNDUSI (rühmitatud nende tõesuste tõenäosuste järgi kolmeks)

Tõesuse tõenäosusega üle 0,9

Diamond, Peter; Emmanuel Saez (AUGUST 2011) The Case for a Progressive Tax: From Basic Research to Policy Recommendations. CESIFO WORKING PAPER NO. 3548 CATEGORY 1: PUBLIC FINANCE: http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez/diamond-saezJEP11opttax.pdf

European Commission (February 2015) “What is the “Beyond GDP”:http://ec.europa.eu/environment/beyond_gdp/index_en.html

Fukuyama, Francis (2014) Political Order and Political Decay. FARRAR, STRAUS and GIROUX, New York: 658.

Januskaite, Virginija; Lina Uziene (2015) „Intellectual Capital Measurements and National Strategy Development: Explaining the Gap“ – Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences 213 ( 2015 ) 161 – 166: Available online at http://www.sciencedirect.com

Abstract

The main purpose of the paper is to identify challenges that occur developing strategies based on national intellectual kapital (NIC) measurements. As it can be observed from IC literature, even though there are different methods to measure NIC, they are not commonly used among policy makers as a tool for strategic management decisions to raise competiveness of nation. This paper compares different approaches to measure NIC, reveals related problems and provides possible explanations accordingly. The findings of the paper show that there is a big gap between academic research and policy makers. Four major directions of explanations to bridge this gap are highlighted in the paper: (1) poor awareness of IC concept among policy makers, (2) methodology related issues, (3) changing leadership profile and (4) collaboration related issues. The insights to possible solutions are also presented. They reveal the need to research different countries regarding their NIC policy.

© 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Kissinger, Henry (2014 –  e.k 2017)  World Order. Allen Lane: 420  (Index  on p408:  Estonia, Russian cyberattac on  p 345).

Lindmäe, Herbert (2015-1999) SUVESÕDA  … 1941, Tartu, OÜ Greif: 4825lk (sic! IX Köidet – üe).

OECD STATISTICS DIRECTORATE (10-Oct-2011) MEASURING THE STOCK OF HUMAN CAPITAL FOR COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS: AN APPLICATION OF THE LIFETIME INCOME APPROACH TO SELECTED COUNTRIES – WORKING PAPER NO. 41 (This paper has been prepared by Gang LiuE-mail: gang.liu@oecd.org): http://www.oecd.org/std/research

 

ABSTRACT

This paper summarizes the outcomes of the first phase of the OECD human capital project. In so doing, it shows the feasibility of applying the lifetime income approach to measuring human capital for comparative analysis, both across countries and over time. It also highlights the feasibility of applying the methodology to the categorical data (i.e. by 5-year or 10-year age group) that are typically available within the OECD statistics system, rather than to data by single year of age required by the original Jorgenson-Fraumeni methodology. The results in this paper indicate that the estimated value of human capital is substantially larger than that of traditional physical capital. Ratios of human capital to GDP are in a range from around eight to over ten across countries, broadly in line with those reported in a number of national studies. The distributions of human capital by age, gender, and education show that men dominate women in terms of their human capital holdings. In addition, people with higher education are better off than those with lower education, and the same is true for younger people compared to their older counterparts, although the detailed patterns vary across countries. Decomposition analysis of changes in the volume of human capital demonstrates that changes in population structure between men and women had little effect on the change of human capital per capita. While in all countries higher educational attainment contributed positively to the change of human capital per capita, this is not always sufficient to offset the negative effect of population ageing;

as a result, the volume of human capital per capita appeared to have declined in some countries over the observed period. Finally, sensitivity analysis confirms that estimates of the value of human capital depend on the choice of the two key parameters, i.e. annual real income growth rate and discount rate, while within-country distribution of human capital and trends of the volume of human capital are less sensitive to these assumptions.

OECD (2016) How’s Life in Estonia? :

https://www.google.ee/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=OECD+(May+2016)+How%E2%80%99s+Life+in+Estonia%3F+Additional+information%2C+including+the+data+used+in+this+country+note%2C+can+be+found+at%3A+www.oecd.org%2Fstatistics%2FBetter-Life-Initiative-2016-country-notes-data.xlsx

Eurostat (110/2016 – 6 June 2016) Migrant integration in the EU labour market in 2015:

http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/news/news-releases?p_p_id=101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk&p_p_lifecycle=0&p_p_state=normal&p_p_mode=view&p_p_col_id=column-2&p_p_col_count=1&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_delta=20&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_keywords=&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_advancedSearch=false&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_andOperator=true&p_r_p_564233524_resetCur=false&_101_INSTANCE_jtJORfNw4amk_cur=2

Ott, A.F., U. Ennuste (1996) “Anxiety as a Consequence of Liberalization: an Analysis of Opinion Surveys in Estonia” – Social Science Journal, 33, 2, 149-164:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0362

Rahi-Tamm, Aigi (2005) “Human Losses” In:  The White Book: Losses Inflicted on the Estonian Nation by Occupation Regimes 1940–1991”State Committee on the Investigation into Repression Policy of Occupation, Tallinn 2005: Estonian Encyclopaedia Publishers:25-48:

http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

Rajasalu, Teet (2003) “Indicators of economic freedom and economic structure as determinants of growth and convergence in enlarging EU and priorities for Estonia”:  In: Essays in Estonian transformation economics, 2003, Tallinn: 9-32.

Raukas, Anto (2005) “Enormous Envirolmental Damage Caused by Occupation Army” In:  The White Book: Losses Inflicted on the Estonian Nation by Occupation Regimes 1940–1991”State Committee on the Investigation into Repression Policy of Occupation, Tallinn 2005: Estonian Encyclopaedia Publishers:133- 140:

http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

STIGLITZ, Joseph E., Amartya SEN, Jean-Paul FITOUSSI et al. (2010) Report by the Commission on the Measurement of Economic Performance and Social Progress:

http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/gdp-and-beyond/publications

Raporti kaalukust näitab Eurostati autorite koosseis:

Juhtivad

Professor Joseph E. STIGLITZ, Chair, Columbia University

Professor Amartya SEN, Chair Adviser, Harvard University

Professor Jean-Paul FITOUSSI, Coordinator of the Commission, IEP

http://www.stiglitz-sen-fitoussi.fr

 StratCom COE (15.III 2017) StratCom laughs. In search of an analytical framework – ISBN: 978-9934-564-12-3: http://www.stratcomcoe.org/publications

Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton (2015) “Economic shocks, civil war and ethnicity” – Journal of Development Economics 115: 32–44:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleListURL&_method=list&_ArticleListID=-1175221378&_sort=r&_st=13&view=c&md5=d185b1e7697a1a536327b241f9e4dd3b&searchtype=a

Tirole, Jean (1992) The Theory of Industrial Organizations. The MIT Press: 479.

Toomse, Rene (2015) Defending Estonia in peace and war. Retaining a small state near the aggressive neighbor by utilizing unconventional strategies; (supervisor: Jyrki Käkönen)  School of Governance, Law and Society, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia: 245:

http://www.etera.ee/zoom/8725/view?page=1&p=separate&view=0,0,2067,2834

Schmid-Schmidsfelden, Hubertus; Kristina Potapova (2016) The Bear in Sheep’s Clothing: Russia’s Government-Funded Organisations in the EU. Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies:

https://www.google.ee/search?q=martensctre%20eu%20publications%20bear%20sheeps%20clothing%20russias%20government%20funded%20organisations

 StratCom COE (15.III 2017) StratCom laughs. In search of an analytical framework – ISBN: 978-9934-564-12-3: http://www.stratcomcoe.org/publications

Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton (2015) “Economic shocks, civil war and ethnicity” – Journal of Development Economics 115: 32–44:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleListURL&_method=list&_ArticleListID=-1175221378&_sort=r&_st=13&view=c&md5=d185b1e7697a1a536327b241f9e4dd3b&searchtype=a

Tirole, Jean (1992) The Theory of Industrial Organizations. The MIT Press: 479.

Tongeren,  Jan W., van Ruud Picavet (2016) „Bayesian estimation approach in frameworks; integration of compilation and analysis“ In  EURONA — Eurostat Review on National Accounts and Macroeconomic Indicators: 7-49.

Toomse, Rene (2015) Defending Estonia in peace and war. Retaining a small state near the aggressive neighbor by utilizing unconventional strategies; (supervisor: Jyrki Käkönen)  School of Governance, Law and Society, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia: 245:

http://www.etera.ee/zoom/8725/view?page=1&p=separate&view=0,0,2067,2834

Tõenäosusega üle 0,8

Best, Micael, Jonas Hjort, David Szakonyi (April 2017) Individuals and Organizations as Sources of State Effectivness and Consequences for Policy Design. CEPR Discussion Papers:

DP11968 Individuals and Organizations as Sources of State Effectiveness, and Consequences for Policy Design

CCDCOE (2016): https://ccdcoe.org/publications/books/legalconsiderations.pdf

 ………                

Abstract: How much of the variation in state effectiveness is due to the individuals and organizations responsible for implementing policy? We investigate this question and its implications for policy design in the context of public procurement, using a text-based product classification method to measure bureaucratic output. We show that effective procurers lower bid preparation/submission costs, and that 60% of within-product purchase-price variation across 16 million purchases in Russia in 2011-2015 is due to the bureaucrats and organizations administering procurement processes. This has dramatic policy consequences. To illustrate these, we study a ubiquitous procurement policy: bid preferences for favored firms (here domestic manufacturers). The policy decreases overall entry and increases prices when procurers are effective, but has the opposite impact with ineffective procurers, as predicted by a simple endogenous-entry model of procurement. Our results imply that the state’s often overlooked bureaucratic tier is critical for effectiveness and the make-up of optimal policies.

 

Chou, Yuan (2006) “Three simple models of social capital and

economic growth “– The Journal of Socio-Economics 35  889-912:

DOI: 10.1016/j. socec. 2005.11.053

Abstract

This paper proposes three models of social capital and growth that incorporate different perspectives on the concept of social capital and the empirical evidence gathered to date. In these models, the social capital impacts growth by assisting in the accumulation of human capital, by affecting financial development through its effects is the collective trust and social norms, and by facilitating networking between firms that result in the creation and diffusion of business and technological innovations. We solve for the optimal allocation of resources channelled into the building of so::cial capital, to examine the models ‘ comparative statics and dynamics, and demonstrate how a tax and subsidy scheme may correct the resource under-allocation that results from the public good aspect of social capital creation. Observed, in the social capital across countries are explained by, in government policies and the possibility of multiple equilibria and social capital, the poverty of noughts and crosses.

© 2006 Published by Elsevier Inc.

Ennuste, Ülo  (2014) „Towards Special Methodological Problems of Macro-Optimal Sociocybernetic International Economic Sanctioning Coordination Modelling: Introductory Remarks oPreliminary Postulates and Conjectures“ – Baltic Journal of European Studies Tallinn University of Technology (ISSN 2228-0588), Vol. 4, No. 2 (17), 150-158:

http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/bjes.2014.4.issue-2/bjes-2014-0021/bjes-2014-0021.xml?format=INT

Hodgson, G. (2007) “Evolutionary and Institutional Economics as the New Mainstream?” – Evolutionary Institutional Economics Review, 4(1): 7-25.

Hodgson, G. (1998) Institution Building as an Industrial Strategy. PHARE-ACE Research Project P95-2234-R. (co-author Ülo Ennuste) University of Cambridge Working Papers: 527.

Hurwitcz, Leonid et al. (2007): http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/2007/advanced.html

INTERNATIONAL COMMISSION FOR THE INVESTIGATION OF CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY (2006) ESTONIA 1940-1945TALLINN 2006: http://www.historycommission.ee (NB: p1126 ).

Januskaite, Virginija; Lina Uziene (2015) „Intellectual Capital Measurements and National Strategy Development: Explaining the Gap“ – Procedia – Social and Behavioral Sciences 213 ( 2015 ) 161 – 166: Available online at http://www.sciencedirect.com

Abstract

The main purpose of the paper is to identify challenges that occur developing strategies based on national intellectual kapital (NIC) measurements. As it can be observed from IC literature, even though there are different methods to measure NIC, they are not commonly used among policy makers as a tool for strategic management decisions to raise competiveness of nation. This paper compares different approaches to measure NIC, reveals related problems and provides possible explanations accordingly. The findings of the paper show that there is a big gap between academic research and policy makers. Four major directions of explanations to bridge this gap are highlighted in the paper: (1) poor awareness of IC concept among policy makers, (2) methodology related issues, (3) changing leadership profile and (4) collaboration related issues. The insights to possible solutions are also presented. They reveal the need to research different countries regarding their NIC policy.

© 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.

Kahan, Dan M., Asheley Landrum, Katie Carpenter, Laura Helft, Kathleen Hall Jamieson (2017) „Science Curiosity and Political Information Processing“ – Political Psychology“ –  38: 179–199, doi:10.1111/pops.12396, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pops.12396/epdf

Kirch, Aksel; Marika Kirch, Tarmo Tuisk, Hanna-Hulda Reinkort and Aimar Altosaar (2008) “Etics, Emics, Estonians and Russians in Contemporary Estonia: Is the Past still Dominating the Present?”

Presentation at IACCP Congress 27-31 July, 2008 Bremen, Germany: Working Papers of the Institute for European Studies International University Audentes No 1:

http://www.ies.ee/iaccp2008/Kirch_et_al_paper.pdf

http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:30058

Kirch, A., Tuisk, T.; Reinkort, H.- H. (2011). Estonians and Russians in Contemporary Estonia: Is the Past still Dominating the Present? In J. Deutsch, M. Boehnke, U. Kühnen, & K. Boehnke (Eds.), Rendering borders obsolete: Cross-cultural and cultural psychology as an interdisciplinary, multi-method endeavor. Bremen : Jacobs University Bremen : International Association for Cross-Cultural Psychology. pp. 106-120.

Kissinger, Henry (2014)  World Order. Allen Lane: 420  (Index  on p 408:  Estonia, Russian cyberattac on  p 345).

KUNČIČ, ALJAŽ (2014) „Institutional quality dataset“ –  Journal of Institutional Economics / Volume 10 / Issue 01 / March 2014, pp 135-161:  http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1744137413000192 (About DOI

 Krugman, Paul (1990) Rethinking International Trade. The MIT Press: 282.

Kubiszewski, Ida; Robert Costanza, Carol Franco, Philip Lawn, John Talberth, Tim Jackson, Camille Aylmer (2013) “Beyond GDP: Measuring and achieving global genuine progress” – Ecological Economics 93 (2013) 57–68.

 Laitin, David (1998) Identity in Formation: the Russian-speaking Populations in the Near Abroad. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.

Lindmäe, Herbert (2015-1999) SUVESÕDA  … 1941, Tartu, OÜ Greif: 4825lk (sic! IX Köidet – üe).

Lucas, Edward (2014) The New Cold War: Putin’s Russia and the Threat to the West (Amazon.com Kindle).

Matsushima, Hitoshi (2008) „Role of honesty in full implementation“ – Journal of Economic Theory 139 2008  353 – 359: www.elsevier.com/locate/jet

 Kahan, Dan M., Asheley Landrum, Katie Carpenter, Laura Helft, Kathleen Hall Jamieson (2017) „Science Curiosity and Political Information Processing“ – Political Psychology“ –  38: 179–199, doi:10.1111/pops.12396, http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/pops.12396/epdf

Kaljulaid, Kersti (2017): https://www.president.ee/et/meediakajastus/intervjuud/13147-qrussia-is-a-threat-estonia-frets-about-its-neighborq-the-washington-post/index.html

http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

KUNČIČ, ALJAŽ (2014) „Institutional quality dataset“ –  Journal of Institutional Economics Volume 10 Issue 01 March 2014, pp 135-161:  http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/S1744137413000192 (About D

Mägi, Kadi; Kadri Leetmaa, Tiit Tammaru, Maarten van Ham (2016) „Types of spatial mobility and change in people’s ethnic residential contexts“ – DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH VOLUME 34, ARTICLE 41, PAGES 1161−1192 PUBLISHED 28 JUNE 2016 http://www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol34/41/ DOI: 10.4054/DemRes.2016.34.41:

http://www.demographic-research.org/volumes/vol34/41/default.htm

Noor, Heino (2005) “Permanent Health Damages” In: The White Book: Losses Inflicted on the Estonian Nation by Occupation Regimes 1940–1991State Committee on the Investigation into Repression Policy of Occupation, Tallinn, Estonian Encyclopaedia Publishers: 58-73: http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

OECD (2011) MEASURING THE STOCK OF HUMAN CAPITAL FOR COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS: AN APPLICATION OF THE LIFETIME INCOME APPROACH TO SELECTED COUNTRIES – STATISTICS DIRECTORATE- WORKING PAPER NO. 41 (This paper has been prepared by Gang Liu, OECD Statistics Directorate): http://www.oecd.org/std/research

OECD (2016) How’s Life in Estonia? :

https://www.google.ee/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=OECD+(May+2016)+How%E2%80%99s+Life+in+Estonia%3F+Additional+information%2C+including+the+data+used+in+this+country+note%2C+can+be+found+at%3A+www.oecd.org%2Fstatistics%2FBetter-Life-Initiative-2016-country-notes-data.xlsx

Ott, A.F., U. Ennuste (1996) “Anxiety as a Consequence of Liberalization: an Analysis of Opinion Surveys in Estonia” – Social Science Journal, 33, 2, 149-164:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0362

Rajasalu, Teet (2003) “Indicators of economic freedom and economic structure as determinants of growth and convergence in enlarging EU and priorities for Estonia”:  In: Essays in Estonian transformation economics, 2003, Tallinn: 9-32.

RAND (2017) https://www.google.ee/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=hybrid+warfare+in+the+baltics.+threats+and+potential+responses

Schmid-Schmidsfelden, Hubertus: Kristina Potapova (2016) The Bear in Sheep’s Clothing: Russia’s Government-Funded Organisations in the EU. Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies:

https://www.google.ee/search?q=martensctre%20eu%20publications%20bear%20sheeps%20clothing%20russias%20government%20funded%20organisations

Thorsten Janus, Daniel Riera-Crichton (2015) “Economic shocks, civil war and ethnicity” – Journal of Development Economics 115: 32–44:

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleListURL&_method=list&_ArticleListID=-1175221378&_sort=r&_st=13&view=c&md5=d185b1e7697a1a536327b241f9e4dd3b&searchtype=a

Tirole, Jean (1992) The Theory of Industrial Organizations. The MIT Press: 479.

Toomse, Rene (2015) Defending Estonia in peace and war. Retaining a small state near the aggressive neighbor by utilizing unconventional strategies; (supervisor: Jyrki Käkönen); School of Governance, Law and Society, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia: 245lk:

http://www.etera.ee/zoom/8725/view?page=1&p=separate&view=0,0,2067,2834

 Tõesusega üle 0,7

 Ennuste, Ülo (2016): https://uloennuste.wordpress.com/2016/11/18/do-not-quote-18-xi-16/

Ennuste, Ü. (2008) “Synthetic Conceptions of Implementing Mechanisms Design for Public Socio-Economic Information Structure: Illustrative Estonian Examples.” In: Kirch, Aksel et al. (Eds.) Socio-economic and institutional environment: harmonisation in the EU countries of Baltic Sea Rim: Tallinn University of Technology, 9 – 39: http://www.ies.ee/iesp/No4/Ennuste.pdf

Ennuste, Ü. (1993) „An outline for estimating long-term economic damage by means of analogy“ – Eesti TA Toimetised. Humanitaar- ja Sotsiaalteadused, 42, 1, 1-4.

Kukk, Kalev (2005) ”Economic Damages In: The White Book: Losses Inflicted on the Estonian Nation by Occupation Regimes 1940–1991State Committee on the Investigation into Repression Policy of Occupation, Tallinn, Estonian Encyclopaedia Publishers:141-171:    http://www.digar.ee/arhiiv/nlib-digar:8192

(puudub rahvuslike ressursside kaotuste hindamine)

Rahandusministeerium (12.IV 2017) 2017. aasta kevadine majandusprognoos. RM võrguteavik: 76lk – koostaja Madis Aben.

NB: Rahvusliku jätkusuutlikkuse (RJ) aspektist on sellel prognoosil rida puuduseid mis usaldusväärsust vähendavad (a) nt Eesti RJ lähendi – konvergentsi EL/28 keskmisele (KK) „prognoos“ on siin aastani 2015! – kusjuures 2016 kohta on formaalne statistika olemas – liiati on see „prognoos“ teadustühiselt moonutatult PPS vääringus (b) prognoosil on suur lünk selles osas et puudub makro-ressursside prognoos nt maksebilansi finantskonto osa – seega jääb teadmata millises mahus jätkub finantskonto kaudu lähematel aastatel rahvuslike finantsvarade slikerdamine investeeringute petunimede all välismaale nii residentide kui ka e-residentide poolt (c) avaldatud prognooside usaldusväärsust rängalt vähendab mitmete regressandide usalduspiiride puudumine ja seega ilmselt hübriidsõja riskide (eriti sanktsioonide sõja) rahvuslikult vastutustundetu ignoreerimine.

 

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April 24, 2017 - Posted by | Uncategorized

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